According to Pablo Hernandez, Spain needs to equip itself for present and future economic downturns. Households and businesses are in pain due to negative growth, followed by high energy costs. The Bank of Spain governor said this on Tuesday.
Bank Of Spain Governor On His Two Cents
He stated that Spain is experiencing an economic shakeout and it must take steps to scale. Banks in Spain are required to observe risks and strategize means to recover losses. He reiterated that individuals and firms are at the receiving end of the crisis.
Pablo further mentioned some factors responsible for the country’s macroeconomic situation. Surging inflation, a complicated micro financial condition, monetary policy tightening, and rising uncertainties starred prevalently. These contributed to Spain’s down economy.
While these have slowed growth in quarter three, the impact could extend till quarter four. Due to this opinion, Spain reduced its development outlook for 2023. Initially, its target was 2.7 percent, but it dropped to 2.1 percent.
Spanish financial advisers warned against the pitfalls of monetary instability developing from the Russia-Ukraine war. Although, increased interest rates should push bond yields higher. But it is only for the short-term.
Russia’s altercation with Ukraine has contributed enormously to global economic deterioration. The European economy crumbled more following Russia refusing to supply products to the Eurozone.
The repercussion of Economic Slump On Banks
De Cos stated that banks could experience a negative impact from the current macroeconomic situation. Most likely in the next three years, the outcomes will surface. It is inevitable with rising energy costs, inconsistencies in international trade, and soaring inflation.
So, given the possibilities of this, lenders ought to be wary of capital planning. Their provision policy requires modification. They have to expand their rig ahead of time to recover potential losses.
An increase in bankruptcies among customers could spur loans reducing expected returns. Nonperforming loans hit their lowest since December 2008 in July. It fell to 3.85 percent, partly owing to the suspension of loans amid Covid.
Also, bad loans are a long way away from December 2013 height. At the time, bad loans hit 13.6 percent. Borrowers could not pay back loans due to the high rate of insolvency.
Hernandez predicted what may occur to households and businesses in the years to come. He said they might get hit by horrid economic conditions. As a result, they would fail to fulfill their financial duties.
While inflation remains torrid, a recession may be within sight of Spain. Earlier in May, the Consumer Price Index surged increasingly. Rising prices are gradually sinking the economy at an even faster pace.
The release of European Union funds continues deterring, and uncertainties about its use linger. Manufacturing is nearing an impasse as a result of the unhealthy situation. Meanwhile, the service sector might stay well off despite the ongoing skid.